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Friday, January 28, 2011

TGIF Morning

Lots of news this morning, riots in the middle East, GDP prints lower than expectations, Portuguese and Spanish Bonds are back to their all time high yields, Consumer Confidence in the UK plunges, and the new Orange County Mayor has fired the old administration holdovers. I am not sure  which big story is driving the market, but I like where it is finally headed.

Mr Market is down across all indexes, with the Dow off 78 at 11911, the SPX down 11.64 at 1288, and the other indexes all trading lower.  The Oil market is higher on concerns in Egypt that the Suez Canal may suffer some interruptions, trading up 1.40 at 87.04, Gold is higher, trading up 3.10 at 1321.5 and Silver is trading higher at 27.34.  The commodity complex is trading higher, with the exception of Wheat which is lower.  The Euro is off  10 ticks at 1.363 and the Dollar is higher a few ticks at 77.97.  The bond market is little improved, with the 10 year up 11 ticks at 3.37% and the Long Bond flat at 4.56%

Our QQQQ short got stopped out yesterday at 57.26, for a loss of $1.39.  The QID levered long was also stopped out at 10.75 with a $0.26 loss.

We will be waiting for the Proprietary Momentum Change indicators to confirm a the Sell signal and we will replace the trades.  As we have been pointing out for some time, nearly all internal measures of internal strength have continued to deteriorate and this pull back that looks to have finally started may have some legs.

Best To Your Trading!

Bill

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