All domestic equity indexes are down this morning, following the weakness in world markets. While the Nikkei was up .75%, the Chinese market was down nearly 2%. The Singapore market was up a tad, but all the rest were down on the first trading day after Christmas.
The Euro is up.04 ticks, while the dollar is down a little at 80.38. Oil is off .65 at 90.86 and Gold is at 1382, down 1.62 The Long Bond is off, trading at 4.48% and the 10 year is off, trading at 3.41. The 10s30 continues to flatten, at 1.07%. While the Fed is filling the candy jar for the banks, the market is taking away the cookie jar.
The Dallas Fed's Texas Manufacturing Index is the only big report this morning, coming at 12.89, missing expectations of 17. This number is also lower than the November reported at 13.1 The really juicy info, as always, appears in the sub-paragraphs. The Finished Goods Inventories surged by 11.1%, and the 6 Month Forward jumped nearly 20%. With Wall Street analysts focused on margins, the news here is what we expected.....prices paid for raw materials surged 9%, and wages and benefits up 4.4%, while new order volume fell 7.5%.
Our Proprietary Momentum Change indicator for the SPX remains on Buy, although it has moved to neutral. Another down day tomorrow and the signal may flip. As you know, we are monitoring a large number of negative divergences in our key timing indicators, but the momentum is still to the up side.
Best to Your Trading!
Bill
No comments:
Post a Comment